January 01, 1933

Enigmas of Chance

Probability theory, random processes, statistical inference and machine learning.

See also: Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View; Bayes, anti-Bayes; Constant Conjunction Necessary Connexion; Data over Space and Time; Networks; Power Laws

Tenure-Track Opening in Computational Social Science at CMU (a.k.a. Call to Pittsburgh, 2024 edition)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2024
A First Course in Random Matrix Theory: for Physicists, Engineers and Data Scientists (Potters and Bouchaud)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2023
Black Pride and Black Prejudice (Sniderman and Piazza)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2022
Mean Field Games and Mean Field Type Control Theory (Bensoussan, Frehse and Yam)
An Introduction to Stochastic Processes in Physics (Lemons)
Upcoming Talk: "Matching Random Features"
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 2
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2022
Statistical Explanation and Statistical Relevance (Salmon)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2021
Measurement in the Social Sciences: The Link between Theory and Data (Zeller and Carmines)
Random-Feature Matching
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2021
Path Integrals for Stochastic Processes: An Introduction (Wio)
Bayesianism in Math: No Dice
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2021
The Ethical Algorithm: The Science of Socially Aware Algorithm Design (Kearns and Roth)
Regression, Thermostats, Causal Inference: Some Finger Exercises
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2021
Cardano, the Gambling Scholar (Ore)
Course Announcement: "Conceptual Foundations of Statistical Learning" (36-465/665, Spring 2021)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2020
Quasi-Likelihood and Its Application: A General Approach to Optimal Parameter Estimation (Heyde)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2020
W. E. B. Du Bois's Data Portraits: Visualizing Black America: The Color Line at the Turn of the Twentieth Century (Battle-Baptiste and Rusert, eds.)
A Weak Convergence Approach to the Theory of Large Deviations (Dupuis and Ellis)
Large Deviations and Metastability (Olivieri and Vares)
Climate Mathematics: Theory and Applications (Shen and Somerville)
How Not to Fit a Trend
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2020
Epidemic Modelling: An Introduction (Daley and Gani)
Analysis of Longitudinal Data (Diggle, Liang and Zeger)
The Geographic Spread of Infectious Diseases: Models and Applications (Sattenspiel with Lloyd)
A Very Introductory Lecture on Epidemic Models
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2020
A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics ( Bacaër)
Spatial Statistics (Ripley)
Of the Evaluation of Expertise ("I am not so good for that as an old roofer")
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2020
Mathematics of Epidemics on Networks: From Exact to Approximate Models (Kiss, Miller and Simon)
"Data science methods to reduce inequality and improve healthcare" (Also Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"The Blessings of Multiple Causes" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2019
Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy (O'Neil)
Notes on "Intriguing Properties of Neural Networks", and two other papers
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2019
Fitting Linear Relationships: A History of the Calculus of Observations 1750--1900 (Farebrother)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2019
Statistical Visions in Time: A History of Time Series Analysis, 1662--1938 (Klein)
From Uniform Laws of Large Numbers to Uniform Ergodic Theorems (Peskir)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2019
Statistical Demography and Forecasting (Alho and Spencer)
Stochastic Population Models: A Compartmental Perspective (Matis and Kiffe)
"Causal inference in social networks: A new hope?" (Friday at the Ann Arbor Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2019
Statistical Methods for Spatio-Temporal Systems (Finkenstädt, Held and Isham, eds.)
Data Visualization: A Practical Introduction (Healy)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2018
Spatiotemporal Data Analysis (Eshel)
Revised and Extended Remarks at "The Rise of Intelligent Economies and the Work of the IMF"
"Maximum Mean Discrepancy for Training Generative Adversarial Networks" (TODAY at the statistics seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2018
Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys (Rubin)
Course Announcement: Data over Space and Time (36-467/667), Fall 2018
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2018
Statistical Analysis of Spatial Pattern (Bartlett)
Major depression, qu'est-ce que c'est?
In Memoriam Stephen E. Fienberg
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2016
Regression for Categorical Data (Tutz)
Oh, Wikipedia
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2016
Seven Pillars of Statistical Wisdom (Stigler)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2016
Neural Network Learning: Theoretical Foundations (Anthony and Bartlett)
"Partitioning a Large Simulation as It Runs" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Course Announcements: Statistical Network Models, Fall 2016
"Network Comparisons Using Sample Splitting"
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2016
Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction (Imbens and Rubin)
"Reassembling the History of the Novel"
Denying the Service of a Differentially Private Database
"Analyzing large-scale data: Taxi Tipping behavior in NYC" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
On the Uncertainty of the Bayesian Estimator
"Learning Dynamics of Complex Systems from High-Dimensional Datasets" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Likelihood-Based Methods of Mediation Analysis in the Context of Health Disparities" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Multiple Testing and Adaptive Estimation via the Sorted L-One Norm" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Robust Causal Inference with Continuous Exposures" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Optimal Large-Scale Internet Media Selection" (Also Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Robust Bayesian inference via coarsening" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Fast Bayesian Factor Analysis via Automatic Rotations to Sparsity" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2016
$U$-Statistics: Theory and Practice (Lee)
"Application of High-dimensional Linear Regression with Gaussian Design to Communication" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
36-401, Modern Regression, Fall 2015: Reflections and Lessons Learned
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2015
Linear Models with R (Faraway)
Applied Linear Regression Models (Kutner, Nachtsheim and Neter)
Applied Linear Regression (Weisberg)
"Inference in the Presence of Network Dependence Due to Contagion" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Statistical Estimation with Random Forests" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Kriging in Perspective (Teaching outtakes)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2015
Design and Analysis of Experiments (Kempthorne)
"Robust Confidence Intervals via Kendall's Tau for Transelliptical Graphical Models" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Reproducibility and Reliability in Statistical and Data Driven Research" (Week after Next Coming Soon at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2015
Stochastic Approximation and Nonlinear Regression (Albert and Gardner)
Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks (Barrat, Barthelemy and Vespignani)
Probability on Graphs: Random Processes on Graphs and Lattices (Grimmett)
Random Fields on a Network: Modeling, Statistics, and Applications (Guyon)
Population Games and Evolutionary Dynamics (Sandholm)
Course Announcement: 36-401, Modern Regression, Fall 2015
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2015
A Guide to Feynman Diagrams in the Many-Body Problem (Mattuck)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2015
A Distribution-Free Theory of Nonparametric Regression (Györfi, Kohler, Krzyzak and Walk)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2015
Statistical Analysis of fMRI Data (Ashby)
Unifying the Mind: Cognitive Representations as Graphical Models (Danks)
Any P-Value Distinguishable from Zero is Insufficiently Informative
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2015
Nonlinear Time Series: Theory, Methods, and Applications with R Examples (Douc, Moulines and Stoffer)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2015
Asymptotic Statistics (van der Vaart)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2015
Handbook of Functional MRI Data Analysis (Poldrack, Mumford and Nichols)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2015
Large Deviations for Stochastic Processes (Feng and Kurtz)
Experimental Design and Its Statistical Basis (Finney)
Foundational Issues in Human Brain Mapping (Hanson and Bunzl, eds.)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2014
Spectral Graph Theory (Chung)
Complexity and the Function of Mind in Nature (Godfrey-Smith)
Kernel Methods for Pattern Analysis (Shawe-Taylor and Cristianini)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2014
Stationary Processes and Prediction Theory (Furstenberg)
Notes on "Collective Stability in Structured Prediction: Generalization from One Example" (or: Small Pieces, Loosely Joined)
"Proper scoring rules and linear estimating equations in exponential families" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2013
Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence (Boucheron, Lugosi and Massart)
"Concentration of Measure Inequalities in Information Theory, Communications and Coding" (Raginsky and Sason)
"Significance Tests for Adaptive Modelling" (Today at the Statistics Seminar)
Triple Header (Next Week at the Statistics and Machine Learning Seminars)
"Binomial Likelihoods and the Polya-Gamma Distribution" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Bayes and Big Data" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2013
Large Networks and Graph Limits (Lovász)
Estimating by Minimizing
"Frequentist Accuracy of Bayesian Estimates" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Learning Spatio-Temporal Dynamics"
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2012
Numerical Methods of Statistics
These are my preprints; also, publishers are to be destroyed
"Your Favorite ERGM Sucks"*, in Philadelphia
"Exponential-family Random Network Models for Social Networks" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Community detection and link prediction in networks" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Notes on "Learning Bounds for Importance Weighting"
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2012
Foundations of Machine Learning (Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar)
"Balancing the Books By Benchmarking: What To Do When Small Area Estimates Just Don't Add Up" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Book-Chat
"Dependence Estimation in High-Dimensional Euclidean Spaces" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2012
Stochastic Population Models in Ecology and Epidemiology (Bartlett)
Statistics and Scientific Method: An Introduction for Students and Researchers (Diggle and Chetwynd)
Probability and Random Processes (Grimmett and Stirzaker)
Introduction to Nonparametric Estimation (Tsybakov)
Robins and Wasserman Respond to a Nobel Prize Winner
Class Announcement: 36-350, Statistical Computing
Work for My Friends! (Dept. of Signal Amplification)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2012
Statistical Learning Theory and Stochastic Optimization (Catoni)
The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory (Vapnik)
Undergraduate Capacity Control
No, Really, Some of My Best Friends Are Data Scientists
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2012
Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms (Schapire and Freund)
Ockham Workshop, Day 3
Ockham Workshop, Day 2
Ockham Workshop, Day 1
Problems Worth Solving
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2012
Introduction to Statistical Relational Learning (Getoor and Taskar, eds.)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2012
Smooth Tests of Goodness of Fit (Rayner and Best)
Just How Quickly Do We Forget?
"Generalization Error Bounds for Time Series"
On Refereeing a Manuscript for PNAS with Roughly a Hundred Hypothesis Tests
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2012
Dependence with Complete Connections and Its Applications (Iosifescu and Grigorescu)
Principles of Applied Statistics (Cox and Donnelly)
Pearl of Great Prize
Sparsity as Sorcery (Next Two Weeks at the Statistics Seminar)
Networks, Crowds, and More Networks (This Week at the Statistics and Machine Learning Seminars)
Signs I Will Not Recommend Your Manuscript Be Published As Is (No. 891)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2012
Nonlinear Time Series: Nonparametric and Parametric Methods (Fan and Yao)
"From Data to Knowledge: Machine-Learning with Real-time & Streaming Applications"
Talks Next Week (20--23 February 2012)
Of Variance Explained; or, Chronicles of Deaths Smoothed
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2012
Model Selection and Model Averaging (Claeskens and Hjort)
You think you want big data? You can't handle big data! (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"The Cut and Paste Process" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar
Changing How Changes Change (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2011
The Art of R Programming: A Tour of Statistical Software Design (Matloff)
Statistics for High-Dimensional Data: Methods, Theory and Applications (Bühlmann and van de Geer)
"Tidy Data" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Why Think, When You Can Do the Experiment?
Projection as a Defense Mechanism for Social Network Models
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2011
A First Course in Statistical Programming with R (Braun and Murdoch)
Laws of Chaos: A Probabilistic Approach to Political Economy (Farjoun and Machover)
The Nature of Computation (Moore and Mertens)
R Cookbook (Teetor)
Software for Data Analysis: Programming with R (Chambers)
Bayesianism Not Banned in Britain
"Learning Richly Structured Representations from Weakly Annotated Data" (This Year at the DeGroot Lecture)
Is Bayesianism Legal in Britain?
New "data scientist" is but old "statistician" writ large
Next Week at the Statistics Seminar; Week After Next at the Machine Learning Seminar
"I was of three minds, / Like a tree / In which there are three blackbirds"
"Scalable Privacy-Preserving Record Linkage Using Similarity-based Indexing" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2011
Algorithmic Learning in a Random World (Vovk, Gammerman and Shafer)
Course Announcement: 36-350, Statistical Computing
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2011
Spatial Statistics and Modeling (Gaetan and Guyon)
Of the Identification of Parameters
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2011
Causal Inferences in Nonexperimental Research (Blalock)
Knights, Muddy Boots, and Contagion; or, Social Influence Gets Medieval
Lyric Poetry in Pluto's Republic
"Optimal Nonparametric Prediction and Automated Pattern Recognition in Dynamical Space-Time Systems" (or, Our New Filtering Techniques are Unstoppable!, Part II: The Rise of the Austrian Machines)
Irrelevant Along Many Dimensions (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Effect of Influential Observations on Penalized Linear Regression Estimators" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2011
Grammatical Inference: Learning Automata and Grammars (de la Higuera)
Structured Sparsity: Learning and Inference
Your City's a Sucker, My City's a Creep
Durlauf on Social Interactions
ITA 2011: Favorite Talks
San Diego or Bust
Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2011
Galileo in Pittsburgh (Glymour)
Structural Macroeconometrics (DeJong and Dave)
"The Universal Glivenko-Cantelli Property" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Why I Am So Uncannily Prescient
This Week Today! at the Complex Systems Colloquium
Model Complexity and Prediction Error in Macroeconomic Forecasting (or, Statistical Learning Theory to the Rescue!)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, November 2010
Stochastic Processes for Physicists: Understanding Noisy Systems (Jacobs)
The Neutral Model of Inquiry (or, What Is the Scientific Literature, Chopped Liver?)
"Statistics for the Past Millennium" (Tomorrow at the Statistics Seminar)
36-402, Advanced Data Analysis, Spring 2011 (Course Announcement)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2010
Contiguity of Probability Measures: Some Applications in Statistics (Roussas)
"Personalized Content Recommendation on Yahoo!" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"From Statistical Learning to Game-Theoretic Learning" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2010
Extremal Families and Systems of Sufficient Statistics (Lauritzen)
"Uniform Approximation of VC Classes" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Limit Orders and Indirect Inference
"Extracting Communities from Networks" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Machine Learning for Computational Social Science" (This Week at the Machine Learning Seminar)
36-835, Paper of the Week
Links, Pleading to be Dumped
On an Example of Vienneau's
36-757, Advanced Data Analysis: Teaching Handouts (Fall 2010)
Overcoming the Binary (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Fall 2010 Classes: 36-757 and 36-835
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2010
Counterfactuals and Causal Inference: Methods and Principles for Social Research (Morgan and Winship)
"Generalization Error Bounds for State Space Models: With an Application to Economic Forecasting"
"Inferring Hierarchical Structure in Networks and Predicting Missing Links" (Next Week at the [Special Summer Bonus] Statistics Seminar)
The World's Simplest Ergodic Theorem
In which Dunning-Krueger meets Slutsky-Yule, and they make music together
Reminder: The Link Distribution of Weblogs Is Not a Power Law
Praxis and Ideology in Bayesian Data Analysis
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2010
Resampling Methods for Dependent Data (Lahiri)
Special Demi-Issues on Network Data Analysis in Annals of Applied Statistics
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2010
Statistical Learning from a Regression Perspective (Berk)
A Total Science: Statistics in Liberal and Fascist Italy (Prevost)
Return of "Homophily, Contagion, Confounding: Pick Any Three", or, The Adventures of Irene and Joey Along the Back-Door Paths
"Inference for Unlabelled Graphs" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
The Bootstrap
"A Two-scale Framework for Variable Selection with Ultrahigh-dimensionality" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2010
Bootstrap Methods and Their Applications (Davison and Hinkley)
The Visual Display of Morally Obligatory Consequences
Learning Your Way to Maximum Power
How the Social Sciences Got Their *
The True Price of Models Pulling Themselves Up by Their Bootstraps
36-490, Undergraduate Research, Spring 2010
Books to Read While the Algae grow in your Fur, February 2010
Statistical Analysis of Network Data (Kolaczyk)
More Output
Upcoming Gigs: Bristol
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2010
Concentration Inequalities and Model Selection (Massart)
Epidemics and Rumors in Complex Networks (Draief and Masoulié)
Principles of Data Mining (Hand, Mannila and Smyth)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2009
Causation, Prediction, and Search (Spirtes, Glymour and Scheines)
The Direction of Time (Reichenbach)
Misspecification Tests in Econometrics: The Lagrange Multiplier Principle and Other Approaches (Godfrey)
Output Summary
Significance, Power, and the Will to Believe
Uniform Probability on Infinite Spaces Considered Harmful
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, November 2009
Combinatorial Methods of Density Estimation (Devroye and Lugosi)
"Homophily, Contagion, Confounding: Pick Any Three"
"Statistical Analysis of Stellar Evolution" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Some Things Statisticians Do at Google" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar
The Shadow Price of Power
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2009
Bayesian Nonparametrics (Ghosh and Ramamoorthi)
Nonparametric Smoothing and Lack-of-Fit Tests (Hart)
"Completely Random Measures for Bayesian Nonparametrics" (This Year at the DeGroot Lecture)
"High Dimensional Nonlinear Learning using Local Coordinate Coding" (Next Week at the Statistics Seminar)
In re John Holland
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2009
Economic Modeling and Inference (Christenen and Kiefer)
Estimation, Inference, and Specification Analysis (White)
"Analyzing Networks and Learning with Graphs"
Miniature Pearl
Selecting Demanding Models (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
"Two Problems on Stirring Processes --- and their Solutions" (This Week at the Statistics Seminar)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2009
Introduction to Clustering Large and High-Dimensional Data (Kogan)
Identification for Prediction and Decision (Manski)
36-350, Data Mining: Course Materials (Fall 2009)
"Econometric Shrinkage and Model Averaging" (Week-after-next at the Statistics Seminar)
Course Announcement: 36-350, Data Mining, Fall 2009
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2009
Exploratory Analysis and Data Modeling in Functional Neuroimaging (Sommer and Wichert, eds.)
On the Certainty of the Bayesian Fortune-Teller
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2009
Approximation of Population Processes (Kurtz)
Evolutionary Games and Equilibrium Selection (Samuelson)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2009
Weak Dependence: With Examples and Applications (Dedecker, Doukhan, Lang, León R., Louhichi and Prieur)
Finitary Measures for Subshifts of Finite Type and Sofic Systems (Kitchens and Tuncel)
That Word Does Not Exist In Any Language
Next Week at the Statistics Seminar: Bayes, Bayes, Baked Beans, Sausage and Bayes
Next Week at the Statistics Seminar: "Methods and Models for Time-Dependent Relational Data"
Some Bayesian Finger-Puzzle Exercises
Special Function Invocation
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2009
Learning and Generalization: With Applications to Neural Networks (Vidyasagar)
Bayes < Darwin-Wallace
Chaos, Complexity and Inference: 2009 Syllabus
Chaos, Complexity and Inference: 2009 Course Announcement
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2008
Hidden Markov Models and Dynamical Systems (Fraser)
Networks: Optimisation and Evolution (Whittle)
36-350, Data-Mining: Self-Evaluation and Lessons Learned
Salins's SAT Sokaling
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2008
Plight of the Fortune Tellers: Why We Need to Manage Financial Risk Differently (Rebonato)
Return of the Cartogram
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, September 2008
Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions (Bosq and Blanke)
Statistics 36-350: Data Mining (Fall 2008)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2008
Prediction, Learning, and Games (Cesa-Bianchi and Lugosi)
Empirical Processes: Theory and Applications (Pollard)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, June 2008
Structure and Influence: Statistical Models for the Dynamics of Actor Attributes, Network Structure and Their Interdependence (Leenders)
Chris Anderson: Aware of All Statistical Traditions (with bonus fall course announcement)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2008
Putting the CART before the Horse-Race
Solvitur ambulando
Behold the Masses (Next Week at the CMU Statistics Seminar)
First International Causal Prediction Contest: Your Ticket to Perdition
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2008
Measuring the Mind: Conceptual Issues in Contemporary Psychometrics (Borsboom)
Thinking Things Through: An Introduction to Philosophical Issues and Achievements (Glymour)
Glory and \$500 (VIGRE-funded Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon, Spring 2008)
Chaos, Complexity, and Inference (36-462): Lecture Notes
MSS. in Preparation, and One-Way Hiatus
Chaos, Complexity, and Inference (36-462): Syllabus
Quantum Causal Inference
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, November 2007
Regression Analysis: A Constructive Critique (Berk)
Simulation-Based Econometric Methods (Gouriéroux and Monfort)
This Climate Goes to Eleven
Chaos, Complexity, and Inference (36-462): Course Announcement
Upcoming Gigs: Newell-Simon Hall
g, a Statistical Myth
Yet More on the Heritability and Malleability of IQ
Upcoming Gigs: New York
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2007
Relative Distribution Methods in the Social Sciences (Handcock and Morris)
Fortune's Formula: The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting Systems That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street (Poundstone)
Too Much Information
Süleyman the Magnificent Scares the West into Rising (Part II of OH NOES! MUSLIMZ! DO NOT WANT!)
So You Think You Have a Power Law --- Well Isn't That Special?
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2007
Skew Distributions and the Sizes of Business Firms (Ijiri and Simon)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2007 Selfsimilar Processes (Embrechts and Maejima)
Tao on Structure and Randomness
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2007
Against Prediction: Profiling, Policing, and Punishing in an Actuarial Age (Harcourt)
Glory and $1500 a Month (VIGRE-funded Summer Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon)
Eigenfactor (Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Academic Publishing System? Dept.)
"Statistical Methods for Modeling Dynamic Systems" Workshop
Armchair Conference-Blogging
Lecture Notes on Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II), Spring 2007
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, January 2007
Selfsimilar Processes (Embrechts and Maejima)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, December 2006
Some Basic Theory for Statistical Inference (Pitman)
Absolutely Regular
Statistical Communication
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, November 2006
Some Limit Theorems in Statistics (Bahadur)
Notes on "A Likelihood approach to Analysis of Network Data"
Again with the Statistics 754, Stochastic Processes
I Taught Him Everything He Knows
Data Mining (36-350) Lecture Notes, Weeks 4--7
"The Invisible Academy: Non-Linear Effects of Linear Learning"
Arrrrgh! Owwwwwww! Noooooooooo! (A Remark on Power Laws)
A Triumph of Socialist Realism
Data Mining (36-350) Lecture Notes, Weeks 1--3
Glory and $500 (VIGRE-funded Undergraduate Research in Statistics at Carnegie Mellon)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2006
Stochastic Tools in Mathematics and Science (Chorin and Hald)
The Mind's Arrows: Bayes Nets and Graphical Causal Models in Psychology (Glymour)
Frederick Mosteller Is Dead
The Awful Turkish Language
Statistical Arbitrage in the Sky
Problems in the Doctrine of Chances
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, May 2006
Entropy, Large Deviations, and Statistical Mechanic (Ellis)
Large Deviations (den Hollander)
An Introduction to Stochastic Processes, with Special Reference to Methods and Applications (Bartlett)
Large Deviations Techniques and Applications (Dembo and Zeitouni)
The Absorbing Boundary
Friday Cat Blogging (Measure-Zero Exception to the Hiatus Issue of Non-Science-Geek Edition)
Statistical Network Analysis: Call for Papers
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, February 2006
Stochastic Processes (Doob)
Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence (Ethier and Kurtz)
Introduction to the Theory of Random Processes (Gikhman and Skorokhod)
Foundations of Modern Probability (Kallenberg)
Probability Theory (Loève)
Diffusions, Markov Processes, and Martingales (Rogers and Williams)
Graphs, Trees, Materialism, Fishing
Lecture Notes on Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II, 36-754)
"Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, Objectivity, Rationality": The Names Men Give to Their Mistakes
Statistics 754, Stochastic Processes (Advanced Probability II)
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, October 2005
Single Orbit Dynamics (Weiss)
Gauss Is Not Mocked
Will There Be a Text in My Class?
A Thought I Have No Time to Pursue
Schooled by Selection
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, August 2005
Graphs, Maps, Trees: Abstract Models for a Literary History (Moretti)
Our New Filtering Techniques Are Unstoppable!
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, July 2005
Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications (Oksendal)
Exponential Families and Hybridity (Why Oh Why Can't Physicists Learn Better Probability and Statistics, Part N)
The Little Grey Cells Get Their Act Together
This Is Your Brain on Statistical Complexity (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Heard About Detroit, Heard About Pittsburgh PA
E Pluribus Unum (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium)
Why Oh Why Can't Physicists Learn Better Probability and Statistics?
Convex Risk Exegesis
Yet More Political Data Analysis (or: "There you go, bringing class into it again")
Boreal Sloth
Decided and Divided Americas
How to Change the World
Friday Cat Blogging (It Always Pays to Read the Annals of Improbable Research Carefully Issue of Science Geek Edition)
Paradox! Stone-Cold Paradox! Get It Before It's Warm!
Booze, Sex, and Death (This Week at the Complex Systems Colloquium: Dying, Lost in the Crowd Blues Edition)
William Dembski and the Discovery Institute, Renewing Science and Culture by Re-Inventing the Wheel
Speaking Truth to Power About Weblogs, or, How Not to Draw a Straight Line
Monday Exam Blogging
One Roll of the Dice Will Never Abolish Warblogging
"Now Barabbas was a publisher"
More Assorted Reading
Learning Your Way Around Gödel's Theorem
Political Factors
Intermittent Finds in Complex Systems and Stuff, No. 1
The Art of Noise
Free!!!
On a Talk by Persi Diaconis
Small Worlds and Morbid Amusements
What's Right with That Picture?
Try It, and Let's See What Happens, or, Great Minds

Posted at January 01, 1933 12:00 | permanent link

Three-Toed Sloth